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The Path to Superintelligence 🤖

The potential for human-level AI by 2027

No hype. No doom.

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Today’s Story

Stanford has released its 2024 AI Index. The report highlights the current state of AI technology, its impact on various industries, as well as the evolving regulatory landscape.

Several studies highlighted in the Stanford AI Index report show that AI enables workers to complete tasks more efficiently, reducing the skill gap between lower-skilled and higher-skilled workers. For example, Microsoft’s review of its Co-Pilot t found that users completed tasks 25% to 76% faster when using these AI-powered tools.

The report also notes a significant increase in AI-related regulations and proposed bills in the United States and EU. In the U.S. the number of AI-related regulations grew from just 1 in 2016 to 25 in 2023, while the number of proposed bills at the federal level more than doubled from 88 in 2022 to 181 in 2023.

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Research

The Perils on the Path to Superintelligence

AI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner has authored a report analyzing the potential development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and superintelligence by the end of the 2020s.

He sees AGI development progressing rapidly, with the potential for human-level AI by 2027 and superintelligence shortly after. This is based on the consistent trend of ~0.5 orders of magnitude (OOMs) improvement per year in both compute power and algorithmic efficiency.’

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