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Anthropic's $65B run rate is the wrong number to celebrate. The only path to the $200B its $2T IPO is priced on runs through AI eating whole businesses — and the day it can, renting you the model is the last thing the smartest company in the world should do.
The value left the model for the rail, and the conductor gives you a discount to ride his.
Anthropic's backers are hoping for a $2 trillion valuation on a bet that intelligence concentrates into a single winner. Their CEO spent Saturday night arguing exactly that, in public, unprompted. He rents the compute it all runs on, from a competitor, on ninety days' notice.