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OpenAI Price Hike Coming? 🟢

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Author

Dominik Sansevere
January 07, 2025

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What’s happening in AI right now

The global AI infrastructure race

We have just launched the AI State newsletter to go deeper on coverage of AI regulation, geopolitics, global tech development, and defense. Read more here

The scale problem

The physical infrastructure powering artificial intelligence is reaching massive scale. New AI data centers now stretch over 1.24 miles in length - roughly the distance from the Empire State Building to Times Square. These behemoths will consume up to one gigawatt of power each, equivalent to the electricity needs of about 750,000 homes. By 2026, global AI processing is expected to demand 40 gigawatts - enough power for 30 million homes.

This unprecedented scale is forcing the industry to confront fundamental limitations. Traditional networking technologies designed for GPU clusters simply cannot bridge these vast distances efficiently. Companies are now adapting long-haul fiber optic equipment just to connect GPUs within the same building.

Money follows the problem

The infrastructure challenge is triggering massive capital movements. Microsoft just announced an $80 billion investment plan for FY 2025, with over half earmarked for U.S. AI infrastructure and development. Brad Smith, Microsoft's Vice Chair and President, frames this as part of a critical four-year window for establishing long-term global AI leadership.

Meanwhile, Nvidia continues its strategic expansion, acquiring Israeli AI infrastructure company Run:ai for $700 million. The deal appears aimed at strengthening Nvidia's position while making a careful nod toward openness - Run:ai's GPU management software will become open source and available across multiple platforms.

The global chess game

This isn't just about technical challenges and business opportunities. A geopolitical chess game is unfolding. Russia and China are deepening their technological partnership in AI development, following direct orders from Vladimir Putin. The collaboration aims to circumvent Western sanctions and challenge U.S. dominance.

India too is making strategic moves. Prime Minister Modi recently met with tech executive Vishal Sikka to discuss positioning India as an AI leader. Meanwhile, Accel just announced a $650 million early-stage fund focused on Indian AI startups, betting on the country's growing role in the global AI ecosystem.

Looking ahead

These developments suggest we're entering a new phase in AI development. The focus is shifting from pure software innovation to the massive challenge of physical infrastructure and the geopolitical competition it enables. The winners will likely be those who can solve both the technical challenges of scale and navigate the increasingly complex international landscape.

The question isn't just who can build the biggest data center or secure the most GPUs. It's whether any single player - corporate or national - can maintain a sustainable advantage in such a capital-intensive and politically charged environment. The next few years may determine not just technical leadership in AI, but the broader balance of global technological power.

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